MARKET ARCHITECTURE
1X2 Football Predictions: Home, Draw & Away Probabilities
The primary market in football analysis. Explore how MatchSight models the tri-factor probability spread between Home Win (1), Draw (X), and Away Win (2).
Understanding the 1X2 Distribution
A true 1X2 forecast must always account for the draw margin. Draws in top European leagues account for approximately 24% to 28% of all fixtures. Modeling draw density accurately is the key to calibrated match forecasting.